A shift in the bond market is raising hope that the U.S. economy will avoid a recession. Don’t count on it. Market watchers saw the so-called yield curve “uninvert” again on Thursday briefly ...

When the treasury bond yield curve inverts (and remains inverted for some time), the likelihood of the economy slipping into recession is high. A yield curve is a graph on which bonds are ...

"My fear," said Jeffrey Gundlach, chief executive and chief investment officer at DoubleLine, is that longer Treasury yields ...

An inverted yield curve is widely seen as an indicator of recession. A normalization of the curve is also not historically a positive sign, as the curve usually does un-invert before a recession hits.

An inversion of the yield curve—a chart plotting returns on debt of various maturities—historically has been a sign that a recession is on the way.

David Kelly, Chief Global Strategist of JPMorgan Asset Management, expects the yield curve to be almost completely flat a year from now. But he says not to worry if it ends up inverted.

Upward sloping yield curves are hard to reconcile with the positive association between income and inflation (the Phillips curve) in consumption-based asset pricing models. Using US and UK data, this ...

As a result, yields of 7 years and longer are now once again higher than short-term yields, and that part of the yield curve has re-un ... by favoring exports (a positive in GDP) over imports ...

“If people are nervous about the rate environment, if people think the Fed is really on a serious tightening strategy and that is going to lift the rest of the yield curve then any of the refi trades ...