Our weekly simulation for U.S. Treasury yields. Read the latest update in the article series, as of April 25, 2025.

Treasury yield rose to 4.49% on Friday, back where it had been on February 20. It has snapped back by 50 bps from the recent low on April 3 of 3.99% after a hard plunge.

A yield curve refers to how short-term and long-term interest rates compare to one another and how they look when plotted on a chart. Generally, the investment instruments involved in an inverted ...

President Trump's tariff shock that drove a sharp selloff in long-duration Treasurys has pushed a closely followed plot along ...

With elevated equity valuations, a deeply inverted yield curve which is currently un-inverting, and rising macro uncertainty, ...

Falling equities, rising long-term Treasury yields, and declining short-term yields is a trio that has "never before observed ...

This chart shows where we are at in the election ... extremely stretched equity valuations, an inverted yield curve, and a market that peaked right around the election all followed by a historic ...