In April, Trump went to Warren, promising "the greatest economy in the history of the world." Residents there say they're still trying to make ends meet.

We find that economic insecurity is a broader explanation for Labour’s vote losses than concerns about immigration. Becoming economically insecure leads voters to abandon Labour for Reform and the Lib Dems, as well as pushing voters to “undecided”. In contrast, becoming more opposed to immigration only leads Labour voters to Reform.

Brian Easton says the tensions between different approaches to the economy are surfacing as the election nears

Available data suggests the Democratic Party will win ten seats and gain control of the House of Representatives in the midterms.