A shift in the bond market is raising hope that the U.S. economy will avoid a recession. Don’t count on it. Market watchers saw the so-called yield curve “uninvert” again on Thursday briefly ...

An inversion of the yield curve—a chart plotting returns on debt of various maturities—historically has been a sign that a recession is on the way.

When the treasury bond yield curve inverts (and remains inverted for some time), the likelihood of the economy slipping into recession is high. A yield curve is a graph on which bonds are ...

David Kelly, Chief Global Strategist of JPMorgan Asset Management, expects the yield curve to be almost completely flat a year from now. But he says not to worry if it ends up inverted.

But there is a delicious twist to the market ... is up nearly 30% since the curve turned positive in early August. And now--poof!--we inverted again. The 10-year yield dropped much more than ...

Upward sloping yield curves are hard to reconcile with the positive association between income and inflation (the Phillips curve) in consumption-based asset pricing models. Using US and UK data, this ...

As a result, yields of 7 years and longer are now once again higher than short-term yields, and that part of the yield curve has re-un ... by favoring exports (a positive in GDP) over imports ...

However, the narrowing of the yield spread is more than offset by other positive developments such ... the potential impact of an inverted yield curve on NLY’s valuation and profits.