When the treasury bond yield curve inverts (and remains inverted for some time), the likelihood of the economy slipping into recession is high. A yield curve is a graph on which bonds are ...

An inverted yield curve indicates short-term rates exceed long-term, suggesting economic caution. Historically, consistent negative spreads on this curve have preceded recessions. Investors might ...

But yield curves can invert when investors expect a recession resulting from the Federal Reserve policy lifting interest ...

The event – commonly dubbed a yield curve inversion – was largely viewed as a signal the U.S. economy would likely slip into recession in the near future. An inverted yield curve occurs when ...

The economist Robert Solow, who died in December, once said that everything reminded Milton Friedman, his fellow Nobel ...

The rest of this article will analyze the potential impact of an inverted yield curve on NLY’s valuation ... leading to credit losses and book value decline. A few other risks, both in the ...

Not too long ago, there was a bit of a frenzy over an inverted yield curve. The financial news media went crazy for it, policymakers got nervous and the stock market freaked out. But what is an ...

If the curve remains inverted for long enough, it could cause a credit crunch and recession. Stocks move most on the gap between expectations and reality. Reading the yield curve correctly can ...

David Kelly, Chief Global Strategist of JPMorgan Asset Management, expects the yield curve to be almost completely flat a year from now. But he says not to worry if it ends up inverted.

The red parts are overestimates, the blue are underestimates." An inverted yield curve, when long-term yields are lower than short-term yields, has a long track record of occurring before recessions.

WSJ’s Dion Rabouin explains why an inverted yield curve can be so reliable in predicting recession and why market watchers are talking about it now. Illustration: Ryan Trefes Dion Rabouin breaks ...