Through Monday, Nov. 4, 83 million Americans had already cast their ballots in the 2024 election. On Tuesday, Nov. 5 - Election Day - millions more will join them. Their votes this year will matter ...

Presidential historian Allan Lichtman, 77, is a distinguished professor of history at American University and has predicted ...

On Thursday morning, Trump's probability of winning was 63% or higher on Polymarket, a crypto trading platform, and two major ...

Veteran pollster Nate Silver said Friday’s Marist poll bodes well for Vice President Harris’s campaign, with just days until ...

For example, the 538 model adjusts its forecasts based on polls plus what some in the ... In other words, presidential elections are rare, contingent, one-off events. Predicting their outcome ...

according to FiveThirtyEight’s weighted polling average. Important Reminder: Presidential Polls Have Frequently Been Wrong And there is a lot of speculation on how they’re wrong this year ...

As polls open on Tuesday, election forecasts show that the race is neck and neck. According to pollster Nate Silver's forecast, Vice President Kamala Harris now has a 50 percent chance of winning the ...

538's final presidential election forecast. Katie Marriner and Amina Brown for 538 And that's why we've been saying the race isn't necessarily going to be close just because the polls are.